BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 3A Class Rank: 26 Conference: (2-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   83.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/29/2008 Away    W   100.59  35   34   3A   10 ( 7- 5) Cresco Crestwood       17.08    -16.08  non-district        
  2 09/05/2008 Home    W    85.89  28    6   1A   32 ( 2- 7) Lake Mills              2.38     19.62  non-district        
  3 09/12/2008 Home    L *  71.41  16   33   3A   16 ( 7- 4) Webster City          -12.09     -4.91                      
  4 09/19/2008 Away    L *  82.97  14   24   3A   15 ( 8- 3) Charles City           -0.54     -9.46                      
  5 09/26/2008 Away    W *  82.68  14    7   3A   40 ( 3- 6) Iowa Falls-Alden       -0.83      7.83                      
  6 10/03/2008 Home    L *  97.13  18   28   3A    3 (12- 1) Clear Lake             13.63    -23.63                      
  7 10/10/2008 Away    L *  74.26  29   35   3A   34 ( 3- 6) Waverly-Shell Rock     -9.24      3.24                      
  8 10/17/2008 Home    W *  94.86  20    7   3A   27 ( 5- 5) Algona                 11.35      1.65                      
  9 10/24/2008 Home    L *  61.78  14   28   3A   39 ( 3- 6) Hampton-Dumont        -21.73      7.73                      
      Averages              83.51  20.9 22.4

Best game:  100.59 = 1 point win over Cresco Crestwood
Worst game:  61.78 = 14 point loss to Hampton-Dumont
Team stdev:  12.83